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1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bc4 Nd4
A line for White. Every figure below is computed separately for each rating band, and every one carries its own sample size.
| Band | White | Draw | Black | Blunder | Book exit | Games | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 | 46.3% | 3.5% | 50.3% | 66.7% | ply 6.3 | 7,082 | D |
| 1000 | 45.0% | 3.1% | 51.9% | 75.9% | ply 6.2 | 37,360 | D |
| 1400 | 46.2% | 3.6% | 50.2% | 55.2% | ply 6.2 | 24,841 | D |
| 1800 | 48.4% | 4.1% | 47.4% | 62.9% | ply 6.2 | 28,859 | D |
Results by band
All four bands are on the page. The one matching your rating is marked. Nothing here is averaged across bands.
At 600, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit scores 46.3% for White across 7,082 games. Most openings score better than this at this level. Games in this line leave known theory around move 4 on average, and 66.7% include an early material blunder (3 games at 600).
At 1000, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit scores 45.0% for White across 37,360 games. Most openings score better than this at this level. Games in this line leave known theory around move 4 on average, and 75.9% include an early material blunder (54 games at 1000).
At 1400, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit scores 46.2% for White across 24,841 games. Most openings score better than this at this level. Games in this line leave known theory around move 4 on average, and 55.2% include an early material blunder (29 games at 1400).
At 1800, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit scores 48.4% for White across 28,859 games. Most openings score better than this at this level. Games in this line leave known theory around move 4 on average, and 62.9% include an early material blunder (35 games at 1800).
Blunders and traps
The known traps that live inside the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit. The rates are how often each one actually lands in your band, counted against every sampled game in that band.
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1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bc4 Nd4 4. Nxe5
Sprung by Black. The move that invites it is Nxe5.
Taking the free-looking pawn on e5 invites Qg5, and the greedy follow-up 5. Nxf7 loses to a smothered-style mate. White should just castle or play 4. Nxd4.
Read as: how often this trap line is completed per sampled game in the band.
How the Blunder Rate is measured. A material swing of three points or more inside the first 24 half-moves after leaving book, detected without an engine evaluation. It is a proxy for how sharp a position is in practice, not an engine verdict, and it is computed from a monthly game sample rather than the full corpus behind the win rates. Trap hit rates count a trap only when its full line is completed on the board.
Questions
At 600, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit scores 46.3% for White across 7,082 games. Most openings score better than this at this level. Games in this line leave known theory around move 4 on average, and 66.7% include an early material blunder (3 games at 600).
At 1000, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit scores 45.0% for White across 37,360 games. Most openings score better than this at this level. Games in this line leave known theory around move 4 on average, and 75.9% include an early material blunder (54 games at 1000).
The Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit (C50) is a line for White. The main line runs 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bc4 Nd4.